Research

Labor markets and trading frictions

My work aims at gaining a better understanding of labor markets, and more generally of markets affected by trading frictions, using both applied theory and applied econometrics — often combined through structural econometric modelling. My research addresses the determinants of wages, career development, the efficiency of labor reallocation, and the impact of policy on labor market equilibrium.

Google Scholar IDEAS / RePEc Working papers

Publications

2025
01
Jolivet, G. & Postel-Vinay, F., "A Structural Analysis of Health and Labor Market Trajectories,"
Review of Economic Studies, 92(3), 1920–54
2024
02
Fujita, S., Moscarini, G. & Postel-Vinay, F., "Measuring Employer-to-Employer Reallocation,"
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 16(3), 1–51
03
Moscarini, G. & Postel-Vinay, F., "On-the-job Search and Business Cycles,"
Revue Economique, 75(1), 73–112
2023
04
Lindenlaub, I. & Postel-Vinay, F., "Multidimensional Sorting under Random Search,"
Journal of Political Economy, 131(12), 3497–539
05
Postel-Vinay, F. & Sepahsalari, A., "Labour Mobility and Earnings in the UK, 1992–2016,"
Economic Journal, 133(656), 3071–98
2020
06
Lise, J. & Postel-Vinay, F., "Multidimensional Skills, Sorting, and Human Capital Accumulation,"
American Economic Review, 110(8), 2328–76
2018
07
Moscarini, G. & Postel-Vinay, F., "The Cyclical Job Ladder,"
Annual Review of Economics, 10, 165–88
2017
08
Moscarini, G. & Postel-Vinay, F., "The Relative Power of Employment-to-Employment Reallocation and Unemployment Exits in Predicting Wage Growth,"
American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 107(5), 364–68
09
Bradley, J., Postel-Vinay, F. & Turon, H., "Public Sector Wage Policy and Labor Market Equilibrium: A Structural Model,"
Journal of the European Economic Association, 15(6), 1214–57
2016
10
Moscarini, G. & Postel-Vinay, F., "Wage Posting and Business Cycles,"
American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 106(5), 208–13
11
Jolivet, G., Jullien, B. & Postel-Vinay, F., "Reputation and Prices on the e-Market: Evidence from a Major French Platform,"
International Journal of Industrial Organization, 45, 59–75
12
Moscarini, G. & Postel-Vinay, F., "Wage Posting and Business Cycles: A Quantitative Exploration,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, 19, 135–60
13
Moscarini, G. & Postel-Vinay, F., "Did the Job Ladder Fail After the Great Recession?,"
Journal of Labor Economics, 34(S1, Part 2), S55–93
2015
14
Carter, P., Postel-Vinay, F. & Temple, J.R.W., "Dynamic Aid Allocation,"
Journal of International Economics, 95, 291–304
2014
15
Dickson, M., Postel-Vinay, F. & Turon, H., "The Lifetime Earnings Premium in the Public Sector: The View from Europe,"
Labour Economics, 31, 141–61
16
Bagger, J., Fontaine, F., Postel-Vinay, F. & Robin, J-M., "Tenure, Experience, Human Capital and Wages: A Tractable Equilibrium Search Model of Wage Dynamics,"
American Economic Review, 104(6), 1551–96
17
Postel-Vinay, F. & Turon, H., "The Impact of Firing Restrictions on Labor Market Equilibrium in the Presence of On-the-job Search,"
Economic Journal, 124, 31–61
2013
18
Moscarini, G. & Postel-Vinay, F., "Stochastic Search Equilibrium,"
Review of Economic Studies, 80(4), 1545–81
19
Borowczyk-Martins, D., Jolivet, G. & Postel-Vinay, F., "Accounting for Endogeneity in Matching Function Estimation,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, 16, 440–51
20
Albrecht, J., Postel-Vinay, F. & Vroman, S., "An Equilibrium Search Model of Synchronized Sales,"
International Economic Review, 54(2), 473–93
2012
21
Moscarini, G. & Postel-Vinay, F., "The Contribution of Large and Small Employers to Job Creation in Times of High and Low Unemployment,"
American Economic Review, 102(6), 2509–39
2010
22
Moscarini, G. & Postel-Vinay, F., "Unemployment and Small Cap Returns: The Nexus,"
American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 100, 333–7
23
Postel-Vinay, F. & Turon, H., "On-the-job Search, Productivity Shocks, and the Individual Earnings Process,"
International Economic Review, 51(3), 599–629
2009
24
Clark, A.E. & Postel-Vinay, F., "Job Security and Job Protection,"
Oxford Economic Papers, 61, 207–39
2008
25
Moscarini, G. & Postel-Vinay, F., "The Timing of Labor Market Expansions: New Facts and a New Hypothesis,"
NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 23, 1–51
2007
26
Postel-Vinay, F. & Turon, H., "The Public Pay Gap in Britain: Small Differences That (Don't?) Matter,"
Economic Journal, 117, 1460–503
2006
27
Jolivet, G., Postel-Vinay, F. & Robin, J-M., "The Empirical Content of the Job Search Model: Labor Mobility and Wage Dispersion in Europe and the U.S.,"
European Economic Review, 50(4), 877–907
28
Cahuc, P., Postel-Vinay, F. & Robin, J-M., "Wage Bargaining with On-the-job Search: Theory and Evidence,"
Econometrica, 74(2), 323–64
2005
29
Cahuc, P. & Postel-Vinay, F., "Social Status and the Overworked Consumer,"
Annales d'Economie et de Statistique, 78, 143–61
30
Clark, A.E., Etilé, F., Postel-Vinay, F., Senik, C. & Van der Straeten, K., "Heterogeneity in Reported Well-Being: Evidence from Twelve European Countries,"
Economic Journal, 115, C118–32
31
Postel-Vinay, F. & Saint-Martin, A., "Comment les Salariés Perçoivent-ils la Protection de l'Emploi?,"
Économie et Statistique, 372, 41–59
32
Maurin, E. & Postel-Vinay, F., "The European Job Security Gap,"
Work and Occupations, 32(2), 229–52
2004
33
Domingues Dos Santos, M. & Postel-Vinay, F., "The Impact of Temporary Migration on Human Capital Accumulation and Economic Development,"
Brussels Economic Review / Cahiers Économiques de Bruxelles, 47(1), 1–12
34
Postel-Vinay, F. & Robin, J-M., "To Match Or Not To Match? Optimal Wage Policy with Endogenous Worker Search Intensity,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, 7(2), 297–331
2003
35
Domingues Dos Santos, M. & Postel-Vinay, F., "Migration as a Source of Growth: The Perspective of a Developing Country,"
Journal of Population Economics, 16(1), 161–75
2002
36
Postel-Vinay, F. & Robin, J-M., "Equilibrium Wage Dispersion with Worker and Employer Heterogeneity,"
Econometrica, 70(6), 2295–350
37
Postel-Vinay, F. & Robin, J-M., "The Distribution of Earnings in an Equilibrium Search Model with State-Dependent Offers and Counter-Offers,"
International Economic Review, 43(4), 989–1016
38
Postel-Vinay, F., "The Dynamics of Technological Unemployment,"
International Economic Review, 43(3), 737–60
39
Cahuc, P. & Postel-Vinay, F., "Temporary Jobs, Employment Protection and Labor Market Performance,"
Labour Economics, 9(1), 63–91
2000
40
Cahuc, P. & Postel-Vinay, F., "On Some Undesirable Consequences of Education and Growth,"
Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics, 156(3), 445–54
1999
41
Cahuc, P., Granier, P. & Postel-Vinay, F., "Progrès Technique, Emploi et Exclusion du Marché du Travail,"
Revue Economique, 50(3), 405–15
1998
42
Postel-Vinay, F., "Transitional Dynamics of the Search Model with Endogenous Growth,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 22, 1091–115
43
Cerisier, F. & Postel-Vinay, F., "Endogenous Growth and the Labor Market,"
Annales d'Economie et de Statistique, 49/50, 105–26
1997
44
Postel-Vinay, F. & Zylberberg, A., "Insiders et Persistance : un Réexamen en Concurrence Monopolistique,"
Annales d'Economie et de Statistique, 46, 161–76

Book chapters

01
Postel-Vinay, F. & Robin, J-M. (2006), "Microeconometric Search-Matching Models and Matched Employer-Employee Data," in Blundell, R., Newey, W. & Persson, T. (eds.), Advances in Economics and Econometrics, Theory and Applications, Ninth World Congress, Volume 2
Cambridge University Press
02
Jolivet, G., Postel-Vinay, F. & Robin, J-M. (2006), "The Empirical Content of the Job Search Model: Labor Mobility and Wage Dispersion in Europe and the U.S.," in Bunzel, H., Christensen, B.J., Neumann, G.R. & Robin, J-M. (eds.), Structural Models of Wage and Employment Dynamics
North-Holland
03
Cerisier, F. & Postel-Vinay, F. (2000), "Endogenous Growth and the Labor Market," in Encaoua, D., Hall, B.H., Laisney, F. & Mairesse, J. (eds.), The Economics and Econometrics of Innovation
Kluwer Academic Publishers
04
Bossard, A. & Postel-Vinay, F. (1997), "La Réduction de la Durée du Travail dans une Maquette de Modèle Macroéconomique," in Cahuc, P. & Granier, P. (eds.), La Réduction du Temps de Travail, une Solution pour l'Emploi?
Economica

Policy commentary

01
Betliy, O., Kupets, O. & Postel-Vinay, F. (2023), "Ukraine's Labour Market: The Past, the Present and the Future,"
in Gorodichenko, Y. & Stepanchuk, S. (eds.), Ukraine's Road to Recovery. Universities UK International
02
Postel-Vinay, F. (2022), "The Job Ladder in the Age of Inflation,"
UCL Policy Lab, May 2022
03
Costa Dias, M., Johnson-Watts, E., Joyce, R., Postel-Vinay, F., Spittal, P. & Xu, X. (2021), "Job Opportunities During the Pandemic,"
IFS Briefing Note, September 21
04
Postel-Vinay, F. (2020), "Coronavirus, Careers and Mental Health: What Are the Links?,"
Economics Observatory, November 10
05
Costa Dias, M., Joyce, R., Postel-Vinay, F. & Xu, X. (2020), "The Challenges for Labour Market Policy During the Covid-19 Pandemic,"
Fiscal Studies, 41(2), 371–82
06
Postel-Vinay, F. (2020), "How Can Labour Market Policy Help to Get People Back into the Right Jobs?,"
Economics Observatory, June 1
07
Costa Dias, M., Norris Keiller, A., Postel-Vinay, F. & Xu, X. (2020), "Job Vacancies During the Covid-19 Pandemic,"
IFS Briefing Note, May 19
08
Fujita, S., Moscarini, G. & Postel-Vinay, F. (2020), "The Labour Market Policy Response to COVID-19 Must Leverage the Power of Age,"
VoxEU, May 15
09
Fujita, S., Moscarini, G. & Postel-Vinay, F. (2020), "The Labour Market Policy Response to COVID-19 Must Save Aggregate Matching Capital,"
VoxEU, March 30
10
Costa Dias, M., Joyce, R., Postel-Vinay, F. & Xu, X. (2020), "The Challenges for Labour Market Policy During the Covid-19 Pandemic,"
IFS Observation, March 26
11
Bradley, J., Dickson, M., Postel-Vinay, F. & Turon, H. (2016), "Salaires et Emploi dans les Secteurs Public et Privé. Différences et Interactions,"
Revue Française d'Economie, XXXI
12
Postel-Vinay, F. (2015), "Does It Pay To Be a Public-Sector Employee?,"
IZA World of Labor, article no. 156
13
Postel-Vinay, F. & Turon, H. (2006), "Britain's Public-Private Pay Gap,"
Research in Public Policy, 2, 14–15
14
Laurent, T. & Postel-Vinay, F. (2003), "Inventer une Véritable «Flexicurité» pour le Travail,"
in Didier, M. (ed.), Des Idées pour la Croissance. Economica
15
Postel-Vinay, F. (2003), "Évolution du Risque de Perte d'Emploi: Changements Structurels ou Changements Institutionnels?,"
Économie et Statistique, 366, 24–9

Media

Research has been covered in the press between 2006 and 2020, including: